Con disciplina, usted podrá predecir mejor que los expertos.

Tres tercios de los fondos mutuos de acciones estadounidenses no han superado el desempeño del mercado durante la última década. El año pasado, 98% de los economistas proyectó un alza de las tasas de interés en Estados Unidos, pero en realidad cayeron. La mayoría de los analistas de energía no previó el colapso del precio del petróleo de US$145 el barril en 2008 a US$38 el barril hace unos meses, ni el repunte de 15% desde entonces.

Un nuevo libro sugiere que a los amateurs les podría ir mejor que a los expertos, siempre y cuando sigan algunas directrices.

Ram Charan: "El tamaño no es un problema. En todo caso es la excusa para no innovar".

"El tamaño no es un problema. En todo caso es la excusa para no innovar". Así de rotundo se muestra Ram Charan (Uttar Pradesh -India-, 1939), uno de los expertos más reconocidos en estrategia empresarial, en una entrevista con EXPANSIÓN. Charan visitó Madrid la semana pasada con motivo del Management & Business Summit 2015 y de un encuentro para directivos organizado por Accenture.

Big Firms Increasingly Resort To 'Corporate Cocaine'.

A new study by S&P Capital IQ, announced now in the Wall Street Journal, shows that public companies continue to sharply increase their spending on share buybacks and dividends, while decreasing spending on investment.

Median spending on share buybacks and dividends by firms in the S&P 500 increased from 18% of operating cash flow in 2003 to 36% in 2013. In the same period, those companies decreased spending on plants and equipment from 33% of operating cash flow in 2003 to 29% in 2013.

The Art of Strategic Renewal: What does it take to transform an organization before a crisis hits?

In recent years, we have seen well-established companies such as Kodak, Blockbuster, Nokia and BlackBerry pushed to the brink by smart competitors and changes in their industries. In each case, there were opportunities to act before a crisis engulfed the organization. At Kodak, for example, CEO George Fisher attempted to move the company into the digital era in the 1990s. However, he was unable to change course quickly enough. Fisher had an opportunity; his successor had a crisis.

Balancing Exploration and Exploitation.

Scholars have argued that companies can develop greater ambidexterity as they search for better ways to balance practices supporting optimal “exploitation” of existing opportunities and those promoting “exploration” of new ones.

Although much of the research on corporate ambidexterity has been focused on how companies can best achieve ambidexterity, less attention has been paid to how the cognitive processes of individual managers can shape performance on a broader level.

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